New “Chile Territorio Futuro” encounter advances towards the construction of scenarios for 2050

Published on Monday, 26 September 2022

●        The old Viña Cousiño Macul facility in the city of Santiago was the site of the newest encounter of the Chile Territorio Futuro experts. Based on the signs of change prioritized by the 100 experts in their previous meeting, this encounter was a day of reflection and dialogue regarding the critical uncertainties implied by these signs.

●        Among the uncertainties considered in the imagination of future scenarios for Chile were urban health, representation and organization of the territories, governance and citizen participation, climate crisis, and states of emergency.

●        The initiative led by the UDD and Fundación Enel aims to propose public policy guidelines for private and social players based on the scenarios the experts have constructed during their meeting. For this purpose, a third meeting is scheduled in October, being December

Chile Territorio Futuro held its second in-person meeting on September 9th, where experts from different disciplines came together again to contemplate, anticipate, and collaboratively construct future scenarios for Chile. The initiative is coordinated by Fundación Enel and UDD's Center for Innovation in Cities under the Faculty of Architecture and Art and Fundación Enel,

The methodology used to identify, analyze, and monitor emerging signs and trends of potential changes in the imagination of possible future scenarios for 2050, considers five social dimensions: Energy and Food, Wellness and Quality of Life, Governance and Participation, Circular Economy, and New Production Models, and New Normalcy.

The Circular Economy area looks to study the critical gaps and opportunities to move towards circular and zero-net-emissions production systems. It identified Chilean industries with the most significant potential for transformation, focusing on the territorial deployment of key issues for production chains.

Among the signs of change identified in the first meetings are the urgent demand for greater sustainability and new forms of production. The latter is from a regenerative perspective that promotes changes in technologies and production structures to generate improvements within the biodiversity and reduce pressure on ecosystems.

Based on these and other signs of change, the challenge of the latest encounter was to construct future scenarios based on critical uncertainties proposed by the team of analysts for Chile Territorio Futuro (ChTF).

The critical uncertainties present a group of elements associated with a given topic that, when seen as a whole, may reflect transformations in conduct, beliefs, organizations, systems, regulations, etc. Some of the critical uncertainties with the greatest power of change identified in our countries by the experts were the climate crisis and states of emergency, and forms of governance and citizen participation.

Thematic groups had various discussions, sharing their visions in the open plenary session. The multidisciplinary approach and future studies methodology yielded ten possible scenarios for Chile by 2050. Each scenario shows situations that could occur based on the uncertainties identified. The actions that need to be initiated in the present to promote desirable scenarios and avoid or mitigate the consequences of negative scenarios will be the focal point of the next encounter.

This meeting was characterized by collaboration and willingness to think collectively about the country's future. The recent referendum only provided greater motivation and urgency among the participants to collaboratively construct paths of action to address the challenges presented by each critical uncertainty. Within this line, we can highlight the debate on the new forms of exchange and representation, which are viewed in a transition towards new community and local-scale models. 

The results of the encounter will soon be published along with the other interim results of Chile Territorio Futuro at www.chileterritoriofuturo.cl